http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1091367X.2012.700252">
 

Document Type

Journal Article

Department/Unit

Office of the President and Vice-Chancellor

Title

Accomplishments and compromises in prediction research for world records and best performances in track and field and swimming

Language

English

Abstract

The conductors of this study reviewed prediction research and studied the accomplishments and compromises in predicting world records and best performances in track and field and swimming. The results of the study showed that prediction research only promises to describe the historical trends in track and field and swimming performances, to study the limits of human body based on current data, to examine factors that affect human's running, jumping, throwing, and swimming, and to understand the characteristics of human beings. Prediction research cannot accurately predict new world records and future best performances. In the future, prediction research should become an integrated research field consisting of different specialty areas. Researchers need to develop a better model in which random variables could be separated out as independent variables in order to reflect the complex interaction effects and to understand the nature, characteristics, and limitations of humans using world record/best performance data. © 2012 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.

Keywords

prediction model, swimming, track and field, world records

Publication Date

2012

Source Publication Title

Measurement in Physical Education and Exercise Science

Volume

16

Issue

3

Start Page

167

End Page

182

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

ISSN (print)

1091367X

ISSN (electronic)

15327841

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